PnL (30d)

+$4

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$14

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

4W / 0L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

10W / 10L

Trades (30d)

20

across 9 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$2.15

avg win $2

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.9% 16W/2L	95	$37,815
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	25	$7,415
💵 Economy	—	5	$1,039
₿ Crypto	—	4	$1,036
🎬 Culture	—	2	$103
⚽ Sports	—	2	$356
🤖 Tech	—	2	$14

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

103 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	20,798	0.235	$4,887.42	$135.14	+2.8%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	3,027	0.475	$1,438.04	$351.67	+32.4%
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	1,096	0.720	$789.07	$-12.86	-1.6%
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?	Yes	854	0.915	$781.23	$4.27	+0.5%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-03 House seat?	Yes	844	0.925	$781.16	$4.22	+0.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat?	Yes	873	0.890	$776.97	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?	Yes	829	0.920	$762.50	$8.29	+1.1%
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	4,114	0.185	$761.01	$-354.33	-31.8%
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	826	0.835	$689.41	$20.95	+3.1%
Will the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat?	Yes	665	0.925	$615.14	$3.33	+0.5%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	587	0.973	$571.28	$154.42	+37.0%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	2,139	0.253	$541.20	$170.54	+46.0%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?	Yes	468	0.845	$395.32	$6.15	+1.6%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	538	0.644	$346.52	$301.71	+673.4%
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	394	0.835	$329.30	$-8.80	-2.6%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	5,623	0.054	$303.62	$54.99	+22.1%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	400	0.730	$292.00	$8.00	+2.8%
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	325	0.800	$260.01	$46.75	+21.9%
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	231	0.949	$219.41	$-2.54	-1.1%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	6,982	0.030	$209.45	$79.59	+61.3%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	200	0.820	$164.00	$158.95	+3148.6%
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	583	0.265	$154.37	$16.40	+11.9%
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	5,653	0.026	$149.81	$-62.08	-29.3%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	244	0.590	$143.97	$14.35	+11.1%
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	494	0.275	$135.90	$41.01	+43.2%