pm2two
0x6b22cb1509b60fd1df04d7e8137bc20b0da774ec
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$575
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-40.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
4%
2W / 53L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
8%
5W / 59L
Trades (30d)
64
across 11 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$71.92
avg win $17 · loss $85
Profit Factor
0.03
$17 won / $592 lost
Reward / Risk
0.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,244 · all-time $191,474
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
33.3%
65W/130L
|
45 |
$7,844 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
0.0%
0W/15L
|
2 |
$597 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,244 |
0.160 |
$199.04 |
$31.61 |
+18.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
270 |
0.615 |
$166.05 |
$34.35 |
+26.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
139 |
0.465 |
$64.64 |
$-10.42 |
-13.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
1,033 |
0.045 |
$46.48 |
$-190.09 |
-80.4% |