PnL (30d)

−$190

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$21

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

65W / 130L · 75 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

99W / 171L

Trades (30d)

270

across 45 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$6.12

avg win $80 · loss $53

Profit Factor

0.82

$878 won / $1,067 lost

Reward / Risk

1.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$42

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.3% 65W/130L	45	$7,844
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/15L	2	$597

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	1,244	0.165	$205.26	$37.83	+22.6%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	270	0.680	$183.60	$51.90	+39.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	89	0.820	$72.98	$30.51	+71.8%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	139	0.435	$60.47	$-14.60	-19.4%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	1,033	0.045	$46.48	$-190.09	-80.4%