| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
7,451 |
0.845 |
$6,296.37 |
$-267.31 |
-4.1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
6,565 |
0.944 |
$6,193.90 |
$172.30 |
+2.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
2,200 |
0.945 |
$2,079.00 |
$257.01 |
+14.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
2,961 |
0.585 |
$1,732.18 |
$-370.12 |
-17.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.855 |
$1,710.00 |
$10.00 |
+0.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
1,522 |
0.945 |
$1,438.76 |
$86.20 |
+6.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,000 |
0.984 |
$983.50 |
$21.50 |
+2.2% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
1,011 |
0.935 |
$945.39 |
$106.39 |
+12.7% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.935 |
$935.00 |
$9.00 |
+1.0% |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? |
No |
967 |
0.964 |
$932.15 |
$21.44 |
+2.4% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
906 |
0.925 |
$837.70 |
$39.87 |
+5.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
838 |
0.915 |
$766.42 |
$84.32 |
+12.4% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? |
No |
529 |
0.975 |
$515.32 |
$49.88 |
+10.7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
450 |
0.964 |
$433.57 |
$27.14 |
+6.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
433 |
0.835 |
$361.84 |
$57.83 |
+19.0% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.640 |
$128.00 |
$-22.00 |
-14.7% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? |
No |
130 |
0.905 |
$118.08 |
$4.44 |
+3.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100 |
0.436 |
$43.65 |
$7.05 |
+19.3% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100 |
0.239 |
$23.95 |
$3.15 |
+15.1% |