| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
6,565 |
0.949 |
$6,226.73 |
$205.12 |
+3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
4,051 |
0.845 |
$3,423.37 |
$-182.31 |
-5.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.870 |
$2,609.99 |
$190.00 |
+7.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
2,200 |
0.945 |
$2,079.00 |
$257.01 |
+14.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.885 |
$1,770.00 |
$70.00 |
+4.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
1,522 |
0.945 |
$1,438.76 |
$86.20 |
+6.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,000 |
0.968 |
$967.50 |
$5.50 |
+0.6% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
1,011 |
0.935 |
$945.39 |
$106.39 |
+12.7% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.935 |
$935.00 |
$9.00 |
+1.0% |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? |
No |
967 |
0.962 |
$930.70 |
$19.99 |
+2.2% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
906 |
0.925 |
$837.70 |
$39.87 |
+5.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
838 |
0.905 |
$758.05 |
$75.94 |
+11.1% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? |
No |
529 |
0.975 |
$515.06 |
$49.62 |
+10.7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
450 |
0.961 |
$432.23 |
$25.79 |
+6.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
433 |
0.835 |
$361.84 |
$57.83 |
+19.0% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.725 |
$145.00 |
$-5.00 |
-3.3% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? |
No |
130 |
0.905 |
$118.08 |
$4.44 |
+3.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.340 |
$67.99 |
$-67.99 |
-50.0% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100 |
0.460 |
$45.95 |
$9.35 |
+25.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100 |
0.278 |
$27.75 |
$6.95 |
+33.4% |