flyflash
0x6a3941f30239b87ff31966d9dcdbb914be93cf39
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
19W / 13L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
19W / 14L
Trades (30d)
33
across 23 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.01
avg win $7 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.00
$69 won / $69 lost
Reward / Risk
1.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $284 · all-time $116,151
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
47.7%
116W/127L
|
159 |
$1,551 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
50.0%
2W/2L
|
4 |
$48 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
17 |
1.000 |
$17.23 |
$12.23 |
+244.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6? |
Yes |
12 |
0.465 |
$5.54 |
$0.54 |
+10.7% |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
125 |
0.043 |
$5.31 |
$0.31 |
+6.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4 |
0.278 |
$1.09 |
$0.09 |
+9.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
3 |
0.259 |
$0.85 |
$-0.15 |
-15.2% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
4 |
0.035 |
$0.14 |
$-0.86 |
-85.6% |