PnL (30d)

−$13

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$17

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

48%

116W / 127L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

118W / 128L

Trades (30d)

246

across 159 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.08

avg win $8 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.97

$477 won / $490 lost

Reward / Risk

1.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$58

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.7% 116W/127L	159	$1,551
🌤 Weather	40.0% 2W/3L	5	$71

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	17	0.999	$17.22	$12.22	+244.3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	17	0.998	$17.19	$11.82	+220.1%
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	125	0.043	$5.31	$0.31	+6.2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	12	0.390	$4.64	$-0.36	-7.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	4	0.278	$1.09	$0.09	+9.2%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3	0.261	$0.85	$-0.15	-14.6%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4	0.033	$0.14	$-0.86	-86.3%