Davidbill
0x6a2f0438131fb53ade99442ead13558eece87105
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$24
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
16W / 8L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
17W / 8L
Trades (30d)
25
across 15 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.70
avg win $10 · loss $19
Profit Factor
1.32
$99 won / $75 lost
Reward / Risk
0.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$51
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $327 · all-time $496,166
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
1,098 |
0.963 |
$1,056.83 |
$-2.74 |
-0.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.961 |
$288.28 |
$0.95 |
+0.3% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
No |
254 |
0.967 |
$245.58 |
$-0.74 |
-0.3% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? |
No |
209 |
0.976 |
$204.06 |
$1.57 |
+0.8% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
200 |
0.987 |
$197.40 |
$6.38 |
+3.3% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.350 |
$35.00 |
$-13.00 |
-27.1% |