PnL (30d)

+$2

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$15

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

77%

10W / 3L · 345 open

Win Return (30d)

91%

325W / 31L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

358

across 17 markets · ~21 per market

EV / position

+$0.38

avg win $2 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.43

$6 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

0.36

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	93.1% 149W/11L	64	$37,506
⚽ Sports	87.5% 7W/1L	5	$186
₿ Crypto	100.0% 4W/0L	4	$655
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	3	$465
🏛 Politics	100.0% 6W/0L	3	$1,072
🌤 Weather	—	1	$529
🔬 Science	—	1	$529
🎬 Culture	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	1,098	0.963	$1,056.83	$-2.74	-0.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	300	0.961	$288.28	$0.95	+0.3%
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	254	0.967	$245.58	$-0.74	-0.3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	209	0.976	$204.06	$1.57	+0.8%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	200	0.987	$197.40	$6.38	+3.3%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	100	0.350	$35.00	$-13.00	-27.1%