PnL (30d)

+$712

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$31

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+26.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

692W / 1,073L · 87 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

711W / 1,129L · 12 open

Trades (30d)

1,852

across 83 markets · ~22 per market

EV / position

+$10.03

avg win $38 · loss $8

Profit Factor

3.07

$1,056 won / $344 lost

Reward / Risk

4.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$95

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.2% 1,465W/1,924L	186	$12,540
🏛 Politics	38.4% 124W/199L	31	$2,431
🎬 Culture	38.4% 124W/199L	31	$2,431
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/11L	1	$15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,221	0.002	$4.44	$1.88	+73.5%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	149	0.027	$4.02	$1.39	+52.8%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,484	0.001	$2.74	$-2.74	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,300	0.001	$0.65	$-3.25	-83.3%