PnL (30d)

+$964

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+16.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

1,465W / 1,924L · 141 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

1,517W / 1,992L · 21 open

Trades (30d)

3,530

across 186 markets · ~19 per market

EV / position

+$5.81

avg win $26 · loss $9

Profit Factor

2.15

$1,803 won / $839 lost

Reward / Risk

2.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$124

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.2% 1,465W/1,924L	186	$12,540
🏛 Politics	38.4% 124W/199L	31	$2,431
🎬 Culture	38.4% 124W/199L	31	$2,431
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/11L	1	$15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	149	0.026	$3.95	$1.32	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,221	0.002	$3.33	$0.77	+30.1%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,484	0.001	$2.74	$-2.74	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,300	0.001	$0.65	$-3.25	-83.3%