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Trader leaderboard/alex421

alex421

0x69dcf8fc254c9acff196aa047f02b4888fca0cf5
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$265
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
245W / 190L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
258W / 190L
Trades (30d)
448
across 18 markets · ~25 per market
EV / position
+$15.58
avg win $37 · loss $35
Profit Factor
2.51
$440 won / $175 lost
Reward / Risk
1.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$126
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,025 · all-time $478,373

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.8% 5,661W/2,936L 1413 $116,887
₿ Crypto 54.4% 590W/494L 109 $14,501
🎬 Culture 34.8% 57W/107L 7 $2,240

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 1,000 0.945 $945.00 $25.00 +2.7%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 658 0.991 $652.11 $27.14 +4.3%
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 321 0.615 $197.15 $129.83 +192.9%
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 329 0.495 $162.83 $-83.88 -34.0%
Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 297 0.505 $149.89 $-54.91 -26.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? No 374 0.335 $125.35 $102.90 +458.3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9AM ET Down 138 0.805 $111.22 $1.69 +1.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No 69 0.973 $67.46 $1.56 +2.4%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? Up 90 0.535 $47.99 $-2.89 -5.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? Yes 37 0.645 $23.88 $0.54 +2.3%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? No 10 0.941 $9.88 $2.95 +42.6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? Down 18 0.465 $8.19 $0.64 +8.5%
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.746 $7.39 $-0.52 -6.6%
Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 14 0.485 $6.90 $1.35 +24.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? No 18 0.355 $6.35 $0.58 +10.1%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes 14 0.185 $2.52 $-0.91 -26.4%
3Jane FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 10 0.255 $2.42 $-2.61 -51.9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 5 0.410 $2.05 $0.65 +46.4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9AM ET Up 10 0.195 $1.95 $-0.87 -30.8%
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 19 0.092 $1.77 $-1.60 -47.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? No 276 0.005 $1.38 $-8.80 -86.5%
SlingshotDAO FDV above $8M one day after launch? Yes 2 0.530 $1.15 $-0.67 -36.9%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? Yes 2 0.030 $0.05 $-0.02 -23.6%