PnL (30d)

−$393

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

1,403W / 838L · 12 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

1,413W / 838L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

2,253

across 249 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$1.59

avg win $11 · loss $38

Profit Factor

0.84

$2,046 won / $2,439 lost

Reward / Risk

0.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$732

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	65.8% 5,645W/2,936L	1402	$116,107
₿ Crypto	54.3% 588W/494L	109	$14,414
🎬 Culture	34.8% 57W/107L	7	$2,201

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	1,000	0.945	$945.00	$25.00	+2.7%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	658	0.991	$652.11	$27.14	+4.3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	274	0.994	$271.88	$8.21	+3.1%
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	321	0.635	$203.56	$136.24	+202.4%
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	329	0.500	$164.47	$-82.23	-33.3%
Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	297	0.505	$149.89	$-54.91	-26.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	374	0.355	$132.83	$110.38	+491.7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET	Down	89	0.995	$88.29	$6.65	+8.2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	69	0.973	$67.46	$1.56	+2.4%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Up	80	0.415	$33.08	$-10.36	-23.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	Yes	37	0.535	$19.81	$-3.54	-15.2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Down	23	0.585	$13.23	$3.53	+36.5%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	No	10	0.940	$9.87	$2.94	+42.4%
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.746	$7.38	$-0.53	-6.7%
Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	14	0.485	$6.90	$1.35	+24.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	12	0.465	$5.52	$0.83	+17.8%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	14	0.185	$2.52	$-0.91	-26.4%
3Jane FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	10	0.255	$2.42	$-2.61	-51.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	No	276	0.009	$2.34	$-7.84	-77.0%
SlingshotDAO FDV above $8M one day after launch?	Yes	2	0.525	$1.14	$-0.68	-37.5%
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	19	0.054	$1.05	$-2.32	-68.9%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	Yes	2	0.030	$0.05	$-0.02	-23.6%