| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
6,042 |
0.325 |
$1,963.66 |
$-617.22 |
-23.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
2,044 |
0.625 |
$1,277.46 |
$-411.38 |
-24.4% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
1,473 |
0.740 |
$1,089.93 |
$214.93 |
+24.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
8,752 |
0.086 |
$748.29 |
$142.89 |
+23.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
699 |
0.845 |
$590.58 |
$-9.42 |
-1.6% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
605 |
0.973 |
$588.01 |
$38.01 |
+6.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,622 |
0.143 |
$376.25 |
$136.25 |
+56.8% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.905 |
$226.29 |
$26.29 |
+13.1% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
252 |
0.760 |
$191.47 |
$1.47 |
+0.8% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.046 |
$116.23 |
$-3.77 |
-3.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
123 |
0.865 |
$106.79 |
$6.79 |
+6.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
218 |
0.445 |
$96.92 |
$-3.08 |
-3.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
122 |
0.790 |
$96.76 |
$-3.24 |
-3.2% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
332 |
0.251 |
$83.29 |
$-21.71 |
-20.7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
88 |
0.885 |
$77.44 |
$0.44 |
+0.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? |
No |
65 |
0.905 |
$58.39 |
$-1.61 |
-2.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
60 |
0.885 |
$53.31 |
$3.31 |
+6.6% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
89 |
0.355 |
$31.70 |
$6.70 |
+26.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
106 |
0.255 |
$27.13 |
$-22.87 |
-45.7% |