| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
6,042 |
0.325 |
$1,963.66 |
$-617.22 |
-23.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
2,044 |
0.625 |
$1,277.46 |
$-411.38 |
-24.4% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
1,473 |
0.735 |
$1,082.56 |
$207.57 |
+23.7% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
8,752 |
0.086 |
$748.29 |
$142.89 |
+23.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
699 |
0.845 |
$590.58 |
$-9.42 |
-1.6% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
605 |
0.968 |
$584.98 |
$34.98 |
+6.4% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,622 |
0.143 |
$376.25 |
$136.25 |
+56.8% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.905 |
$226.29 |
$26.29 |
+13.1% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
252 |
0.765 |
$192.73 |
$2.73 |
+1.4% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.045 |
$113.73 |
$-6.27 |
-5.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
123 |
0.865 |
$106.79 |
$6.79 |
+6.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
218 |
0.445 |
$96.92 |
$-3.08 |
-3.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
122 |
0.790 |
$96.76 |
$-3.24 |
-3.2% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
332 |
0.254 |
$84.45 |
$-20.55 |
-19.6% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
88 |
0.870 |
$76.12 |
$-0.88 |
-1.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? |
No |
65 |
0.905 |
$58.39 |
$-1.61 |
-2.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
60 |
0.875 |
$52.71 |
$2.71 |
+5.4% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
89 |
0.310 |
$27.68 |
$2.68 |
+10.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
106 |
0.255 |
$27.13 |
$-22.87 |
-45.7% |