PnL (30d)

−$376

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$136

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-25.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

18%

323W / 1,452L · 453 open

Win Return (30d)

19%

414W / 1,810L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

2,228

across 59 markets · ~38 per market

EV / position

−$8.35

avg win $29 · loss $22

Profit Factor

0.48

$349 won / $725 lost

Reward / Risk

1.32

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$208

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	21.0% 860W/3,243L	184	$4,570
🏛 Politics	22.5% 126W/434L	24	$872
🎬 Culture	22.5% 126W/434L	24	$872

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	315	0.225	$70.77	$6.57	+10.2%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	140	0.445	$62.30	$34.99	+128.1%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	391	0.075	$29.34	$-29.57	-50.2%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	136	0.155	$21.12	$-0.63	-2.9%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	110	0.185	$20.32	$2.32	+12.9%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	156	0.105	$16.40	$-0.60	-3.5%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	91	0.175	$15.99	$1.34	+9.2%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	15	0.999	$15.23	$0.24	+1.6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	13	0.976	$13.15	$0.15	+1.1%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	164	0.065	$10.66	$-3.49	-24.7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	522	0.016	$8.35	$-44.62	-84.2%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	57	0.135	$7.70	$0.43	+6.0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	5	0.994	$5.06	$0.06	+1.2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	135	0.035	$4.72	$-2.17	-31.5%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	592	0.004	$2.66	$-38.06	-93.5%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	2	0.977	$2.01	$0.01	+0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	134	0.015	$2.01	$-2.43	-54.8%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	2	0.777	$1.94	$-0.06	-3.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	473	0.003	$1.18	$-30.11	-96.2%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	50	0.007	$0.37	$-0.16	-30.6%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	505	0.001	$0.25	$-18.37	-98.6%