PnL (30d)

+$314

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$126

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

21%

860W / 3,243L · 546 open

Win Return (30d)

21%

981W / 3,663L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

4,649

across 184 markets · ~25 per market

EV / position

+$2.00

avg win $34 · loss $17

Profit Factor

1.19

$2,003 won / $1,689 lost

Reward / Risk

1.97

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$248

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	21.0% 860W/3,243L	184	$4,570
🏛 Politics	22.5% 126W/434L	24	$872
🎬 Culture	22.5% 126W/434L	24	$872

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	310	0.245	$75.83	$12.73	+20.2%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	140	0.455	$63.70	$36.39	+133.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	391	0.085	$33.26	$-25.66	-43.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	136	0.155	$21.12	$-0.63	-2.9%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	110	0.185	$20.32	$2.32	+12.9%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	156	0.105	$16.40	$-0.60	-3.5%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	91	0.175	$15.99	$1.34	+9.2%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	15	1.000	$15.25	$0.25	+1.7%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	164	0.065	$10.66	$-3.49	-24.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	10	0.983	$10.23	$0.23	+2.3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	522	0.018	$9.13	$-43.84	-82.8%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	57	0.135	$7.70	$0.43	+6.0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	5	0.994	$5.06	$0.06	+1.2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	135	0.035	$4.72	$-2.17	-31.5%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	592	0.005	$3.25	$-37.47	-92.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	129	0.016	$2.06	$-2.30	-52.8%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	2	0.977	$2.01	$0.01	+0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	473	0.003	$1.18	$-30.11	-96.2%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	1	0.796	$0.97	$-0.03	-3.1%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	50	0.007	$0.35	$-0.19	-35.2%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	505	0.001	$0.25	$-18.37	-98.6%