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Trader leaderboard/St3f

St3f

0x682dbb961b8b4c4c99d9d56557d5ad68847e4cd6
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$136
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-67.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
189W / 197L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
202W / 198L
Trades (30d)
400
across 8 markets · ~50 per market
EV / position
−$22.71
avg win $2 · loss $28
Profit Factor
0.02
$2 won / $138 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,466 · all-time $13,826,709

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 18.4% 289W/1,285L 86 $6,661
💵 Economy 6.7% 18W/252L 21 $539
₿ Crypto 6.9% 18W/243L 20 $497
🎬 Culture — 2 $43
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/9L 1 $42

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 1,072 0.860 $921.73 $404.63 +78.3%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 738 0.932 $688.09 $135.13 +24.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.755 $151.00 $21.00 +16.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 900 0.155 $139.50 $-228.50 -62.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.845 $84.50 $9.50 +12.7%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,138 0.038 $82.33 $-390.37 -82.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 400 0.184 $73.80 $-30.59 -29.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 100 0.695 $69.49 $-0.51 -0.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.645 $64.50 $4.50 +7.5%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 100 0.635 $63.50 $-6.50 -9.3%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 400 0.155 $62.00 $-100.80 -61.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? Yes 200 0.275 $55.00 $23.00 +71.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 590 0.080 $47.20 $-253.27 -84.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 100 0.445 $44.50 $-7.50 -14.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 700 0.045 $31.50 $-182.36 -85.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.155 $31.00 $-50.00 -61.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 50 0.605 $30.25 $13.75 +83.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 550 0.055 $30.25 $-213.25 -87.6%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 200 0.147 $29.50 $-83.39 -73.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 450 0.065 $29.25 $-142.25 -82.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? Yes 300 0.075 $22.50 $-73.40 -76.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? Yes 100 0.200 $20.00 $-64.92 -76.4%
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes 50 0.235 $11.75 $-3.25 -21.7%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 100 0.075 $7.50 $-0.50 -6.2%
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes 100 0.071 $7.14 $5.74 +410.0%