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Trader leaderboard/St3f

St3f

0x682dbb961b8b4c4c99d9d56557d5ad68847e4cd6
PnL (30d)
−$1,006
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$204
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-25.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
18%
289W / 1,285L · 35 open
Win Return (30d)
19%
304W / 1,305L
Trades (30d)
1,609
across 85 markets · ~19 per market
EV / position
−$13.79
avg win $41 · loss $36
Profit Factor
0.46
$860 won / $1,867 lost
Reward / Risk
1.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$210
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,466 · all-time $13,826,679

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 18.4% 289W/1,285L 85 $6,655
💵 Economy 7.3% 21W/266L 20 $600
₿ Crypto 7.6% 21W/257L 19 $557
🎬 Culture 2 $43
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/9L 1 $42

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 1,072 0.860 $921.73 $404.63 +78.3%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 738 0.941 $694.36 $141.40 +25.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.755 $151.00 $21.00 +16.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 900 0.165 $148.50 $-219.50 -59.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.845 $84.50 $9.50 +12.7%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,138 0.038 $82.33 $-390.37 -82.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 400 0.184 $73.80 $-30.59 -29.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 100 0.695 $69.49 $-0.51 -0.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.640 $64.00 $4.00 +6.7%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 100 0.625 $62.50 $-7.50 -10.7%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 400 0.145 $58.00 $-104.80 -64.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? Yes 200 0.255 $51.00 $19.00 +59.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 590 0.085 $50.15 $-250.32 -83.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 100 0.445 $44.50 $-7.50 -14.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.160 $32.00 $-49.00 -60.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 700 0.045 $31.50 $-182.36 -85.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 550 0.055 $30.25 $-213.25 -87.6%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 200 0.150 $30.10 $-82.79 -73.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 450 0.065 $29.25 $-142.25 -82.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 50 0.575 $28.75 $12.25 +74.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? Yes 100 0.195 $19.50 $-65.42 -77.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? Yes 300 0.065 $19.50 $-76.40 -79.7%
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes 50 0.235 $11.75 $-3.25 -21.7%
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes 100 0.099 $9.85 $8.45 +603.6%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 100 0.075 $7.50 $-0.50 -6.2%