tms2016
0x67790a06dd5a6f8213feb998b1b83f86be492ff6
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4,437
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-82.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
41%
25W / 36L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
25W / 37L
Trades (30d)
62
across 43 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$105.65
avg win $11 · loss $202
Profit Factor
0.04
$205 won / $4,642 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$230
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $15,239 · all-time $182,984
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
17,215 |
0.835 |
$14,374.93 |
$776.97 |
+5.7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
13,571 |
0.875 |
$11,874.65 |
$372.10 |
+3.2% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
154 |
0.910 |
$140.05 |
$10.05 |
+7.7% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
147 |
0.655 |
$96.53 |
$-3.47 |
-3.5% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.962 |
$10.68 |
$0.68 |
+6.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
11 |
0.875 |
$10.06 |
$0.06 |
+0.6% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
38 |
0.095 |
$3.65 |
$-6.35 |
-63.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2 |
0.515 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+1.0% |