tms2016
0x67790a06dd5a6f8213feb998b1b83f86be492ff6
PnL (30d)
−$9,744
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$768
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-35.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
62W / 51L · 24 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
75W / 61L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
137
across 68 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$165.15
avg win $28 · loss $394
Profit Factor
0.08
$883 won / $10,627 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7,575
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $15,239 · all-time $182,984
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
17,215 |
0.845 |
$14,547.09 |
$949.12 |
+7.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
13,571 |
0.875 |
$11,874.65 |
$372.10 |
+3.2% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
154 |
0.905 |
$139.28 |
$9.28 |
+7.1% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
147 |
0.635 |
$93.58 |
$-6.42 |
-6.4% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.962 |
$10.68 |
$0.68 |
+6.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
11 |
0.875 |
$10.06 |
$0.06 |
+0.6% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
38 |
0.094 |
$3.62 |
$-6.38 |
-63.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2 |
0.505 |
$0.99 |
$-0.01 |
-1.0% |