Zasmes
0x66bec80c9926363db7761c5035bc5f8d3d871148
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$35
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$27
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
77W / 78L · 369 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
293W / 229L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
524
across 21 markets · ~25 per market
EV / position
−$7.08
avg win $14 · loss $38
Profit Factor
0.54
$41 won / $76 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,091 · all-time $75,161
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
150 |
0.870 |
$130.53 |
$15.01 |
+13.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
90 |
0.850 |
$76.33 |
$8.80 |
+13.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
78 |
0.865 |
$67.64 |
$-1.96 |
-2.8% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
73 |
0.790 |
$57.73 |
$-0.74 |
-1.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
155 |
0.170 |
$26.38 |
$-18.84 |
-41.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.185 |
$14.80 |
$4.40 |
+42.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.815 |
$14.51 |
$-0.09 |
-0.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
41 |
0.150 |
$6.17 |
$-5.35 |
-46.4% |