PnL (30d)

+$22

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$68

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

229W / 125L · 991 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

775W / 564L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

1,345

across 50 markets · ~27 per market

EV / position

+$1.84

avg win $15 · loss $24

Profit Factor

1.23

$119 won / $97 lost

Reward / Risk

0.61

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.7% 229W/125L	50	$20,504
🏛 Politics	—	9	$1,836
💵 Economy	—	1	$392

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	150	0.865	$129.78	$14.26	+12.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	90	0.840	$75.44	$7.90	+11.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	78	0.880	$68.82	$-0.78	-1.1%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	73	0.790	$57.73	$-0.74	-1.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	155	0.205	$31.81	$-13.41	-29.7%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	No	18	0.815	$14.51	$-0.09	-0.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	80	0.160	$12.80	$2.40	+23.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	41	0.160	$6.58	$-4.94	-42.9%