PnL (30d)

+$128

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+10.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

60W / 69L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

62W / 70L

Trades (30d)

132

across 93 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$1.40

avg win $11 · loss $6

Profit Factor

1.41

$441 won / $313 lost

Reward / Risk

1.88

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$28

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.8% 222W/434L	348	$6,110
🌤 Weather	54.8% 17W/14L	22	$414

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	80	0.570	$45.59	$-2.41	-5.0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5?	No	51	0.500	$25.73	$3.05	+13.4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5?	No	30	0.815	$24.45	$6.30	+34.7%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	40	0.580	$23.20	$-8.40	-26.6%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 5?	No	32	0.635	$20.64	$1.14	+5.8%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?	No	40	0.505	$20.20	$0.20	+1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?	No	40	0.450	$18.00	$-2.80	-13.5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5?	No	34	0.495	$16.76	$-6.94	-29.3%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?	No	40	0.265	$10.60	$-5.00	-32.1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5?	No	12	0.750	$9.12	$-1.22	-11.8%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5?	Yes	26	0.320	$8.48	$1.85	+28.0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5?	Yes	36	0.210	$7.56	$1.93	+34.3%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	27	0.120	$3.24	$-2.16	-40.0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	17	0.160	$2.74	$-2.05	-42.9%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 5?	Yes	11	0.205	$2.18	$0.58	+36.7%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5?	Yes	10	0.075	$0.77	$-0.67	-46.4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5?	Yes	16	0.030	$0.49	$-2.92	-85.7%