PnL (30d)

+$188

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$21

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

222W / 434L · 23 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

233W / 446L

Trades (30d)

679

across 348 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.57

avg win $15 · loss $10

Profit Factor

1.10

$2,085 won / $1,896 lost

Reward / Risk

1.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$220

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.8% 222W/434L	348	$6,110
🌤 Weather	54.8% 17W/14L	22	$414

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	80	0.565	$45.19	$-2.81	-5.9%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5?	No	51	0.505	$25.98	$3.30	+14.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5?	No	30	0.835	$25.05	$6.90	+38.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	40	0.580	$23.20	$-8.40	-26.6%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 5?	No	32	0.630	$20.48	$0.97	+5.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?	No	40	0.505	$20.20	$0.20	+1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?	No	40	0.450	$18.00	$-2.80	-13.5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5?	No	34	0.490	$16.59	$-7.11	-30.0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?	No	40	0.255	$10.20	$-5.40	-34.6%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5?	No	12	0.735	$8.94	$-1.40	-13.5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5?	Yes	26	0.290	$7.68	$1.06	+16.0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5?	Yes	36	0.195	$7.02	$1.39	+24.7%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	27	0.120	$3.24	$-2.16	-40.0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	17	0.175	$3.00	$-1.80	-37.5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 5?	Yes	11	0.200	$2.12	$0.53	+33.3%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5?	Yes	10	0.075	$0.77	$-0.67	-46.4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5?	Yes	16	0.040	$0.65	$-2.76	-81.0%