Trader
0x65c7edb350efbd12e599c1e304db8b12fb2fe100
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$110
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+31.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
32W / 25L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
32W / 26L
Trades (30d)
58
across 30 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$3.81
avg win $19 · loss $12
Profit Factor
1.65
$281 won / $170 lost
Reward / Risk
1.54
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$55
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $425 · all-time $109,234
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? |
Yes |
20 |
0.955 |
$19.10 |
$12.94 |
+210.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? |
Yes |
20 |
0.715 |
$14.30 |
$5.50 |
+62.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
20 |
0.475 |
$9.50 |
$1.56 |
+19.6% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
911 |
0.002 |
$1.37 |
$-8.63 |
-86.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? |
Yes |
17 |
0.025 |
$0.42 |
$-9.94 |
-95.9% |