PnL (30d)

−$259

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

116W / 168L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

119W / 170L

Trades (30d)

289

across 162 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.65

avg win $21 · loss $15

Profit Factor

0.83

$1,240 won / $1,499 lost

Reward / Risk

1.41

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$236

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.8% 116W/168L	162	$2,639
🌤 Weather	21.1% 4W/15L	12	$118
🎬 Culture	—	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.945	$18.90	$12.74	+206.8%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.715	$14.30	$5.50	+62.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.365	$7.30	$-0.64	-8.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	17	0.165	$2.81	$-7.57	-73.0%
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	911	0.002	$1.37	$-8.63	-86.3%