MagicEightBall
0x65bf3bfd2cd0506e8e41752a01e7af7817c94b91
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$174
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+11.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
5W / 3L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
31%
5W / 11L
Trades (30d)
16
across 5 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$58.00
avg win $187 · loss $200
Profit Factor
1.87
$374 won / $200 lost
Reward / Risk
0.93
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $42,348 · all-time $2,463,283
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
55.1%
59W/48L
|
12 |
$16,306 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
100.0%
4W/0L
|
3 |
$1,210 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
13,000 |
0.095 |
$1,235.00 |
$-1,156.72 |
-48.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.025 |
$245.00 |
$4.39 |
+1.8% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
12,664 |
0.005 |
$69.65 |
$-15.63 |
-18.3% |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
11,181 |
0.004 |
$44.72 |
$-27.68 |
-38.2% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.004 |
$4.20 |
$-4.20 |
-50.0% |