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Trader leaderboard/MagicEightBall

MagicEightBall

0x65bf3bfd2cd0506e8e41752a01e7af7817c94b91
PnL (30d)
−$176
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$303
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
59W / 48L · 53 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
102W / 52L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
160
across 12 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$25.09
avg win $366 · loss $318
Profit Factor
0.86
$1,097 won / $1,273 lost
Reward / Risk
1.15
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$689
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $42,348 · all-time $2,463,283

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.1% 59W/48L 12 $16,306
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 3 $1,210

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes 13,000 0.100 $1,300.00 $-1,091.72 -45.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? Yes 10,000 0.025 $245.00 $4.39 +1.8%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 12,664 0.005 $69.65 $-15.63 -18.3%
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 11,181 0.004 $44.72 $-27.68 -38.2%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 1,200 0.004 $4.20 $-4.20 -50.0%