PnL (30d)

+$49

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+11.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

240W / 139L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

251W / 144L

Trades (30d)

395

across 26 markets · ~15 per market

EV / position

+$2.13

avg win $13 · loss $8

Profit Factor

1.50

$148 won / $99 lost

Reward / Risk

1.63

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$21

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.8% 457W/362L	90	$1,971
🏛 Politics	7.7% 3W/36L	7	$89
🎬 Culture	7.7% 3W/36L	7	$89

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	101	0.255	$25.82	$5.71	+28.4%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	49	0.107	$5.27	$3.22	+157.5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	28	0.075	$2.10	$-0.09	-4.1%
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	112	0.005	$0.56	$0.34	+150.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	11	0.032	$0.35	$-0.02	-5.9%