PnL (30d)

+$133

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$7

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+14.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

457W / 362L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

471W / 367L

Trades (30d)

838

across 90 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

+$1.55

avg win $11 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.60

$356 won / $223 lost

Reward / Risk

2.83

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$25

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.8% 457W/362L	90	$1,971
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/42L	7	$94
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/42L	7	$94

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	101	0.245	$24.81	$4.69	+23.3%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	49	0.115	$5.61	$3.56	+174.3%
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	112	0.013	$1.40	$1.17	+525.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	17	0.075	$1.28	$-0.15	-10.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	11	0.032	$0.35	$-0.03	-7.4%