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Trader leaderboard/WalterSobchack

WalterSobchack

0x64befd4360723d4fd0ad845b99dd69f14b3ac653
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 3L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
9
across 2 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,373 · all-time $2,507,884

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.2% 2,012W/2,997L 283 $213,226
🌤 Weather 54.6% 95W/79L 25 $842
🏛 Politics 15 $5,944
⚽ Sports 4 $1,062
🔬 Science 2 $12
🎬 Culture 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

153 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 5,656 0.539 $3,051.19 $1,256.58 +70.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 4,989 0.270 $1,347.10 $-124.25 -8.4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,583 0.645 $1,021.16 $86.78 +9.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 722 1.000 $721.36 $103.65 +16.8%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 700 0.924 $647.15 $105.20 +19.4%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 1,145 0.461 $527.06 $-7.38 -1.4%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 491 0.969 $475.32 $79.22 +20.0%
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No 447 0.967 $432.25 $208.75 +93.4%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 427 0.961 $410.25 $117.14 +40.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 538 0.730 $392.43 $3.45 +0.9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes 1,096 0.315 $345.40 $-1.09 -0.3%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 426 0.786 $335.05 $44.87 +15.5%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 471 0.646 $304.77 $37.05 +13.8%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No 400 0.745 $298.01 $58.31 +24.3%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 284 0.969 $274.99 $20.06 +7.9%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 2,848 0.095 $270.59 $-1,245.79 -82.2%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 2,359 0.095 $222.92 $-62.65 -21.9%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 335 0.635 $212.54 $25.24 +13.5%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 964 0.213 $205.92 $-123.49 -37.5%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 201 0.984 $197.78 $28.17 +16.6%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 200 0.945 $189.00 $23.00 +13.9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 272 0.685 $186.12 $5.02 +2.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 510 0.355 $181.13 $-65.36 -26.5%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 300 0.540 $162.15 $12.15 +8.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 216 0.723 $156.06 $48.06 +44.5%