PnL (30d)

+$66

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+18.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

7W / 7L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

7W / 9L

Trades (30d)

16

across 11 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$7.30

avg win $58 · loss $18

Profit Factor

1.61

$174 won / $108 lost

Reward / Risk

3.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	21.9% 21W/75L	72	$3,333
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	3	$9
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?	Yes	92	0.220	$20.17	$-35.83	-64.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	208	0.060	$12.49	$-47.51	-79.2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	89	0.125	$11.16	$-38.84	-77.7%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	345	0.029	$9.83	$-0.17	-1.7%
US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	93	0.046	$4.31	$-0.69	-13.9%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	Yes	41	0.065	$2.62	$-17.38	-86.9%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 1, 2026?	Yes	50	0.043	$2.13	$-7.87	-78.7%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?	No	50	0.016	$0.80	$-24.20	-96.8%