PnL (30d)

−$986

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$184

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-39.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

22%

21W / 75L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

20%

22W / 88L

Trades (30d)

110

across 72 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$15.17

avg win $27 · loss $24

Profit Factor

0.23

$301 won / $1,288 lost

Reward / Risk

1.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$132

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	21.9% 21W/75L	72	$3,333
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	3	$9
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?	Yes	92	0.220	$20.17	$-35.83	-64.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	208	0.055	$11.45	$-48.55	-80.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	89	0.115	$10.27	$-39.73	-79.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	345	0.028	$9.66	$-0.34	-3.4%
US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	93	0.046	$4.31	$-0.69	-13.9%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	Yes	41	0.065	$2.62	$-17.38	-86.9%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 1, 2026?	Yes	50	0.043	$2.15	$-7.85	-78.5%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?	No	50	0.016	$0.80	$-24.20	-96.8%