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Trader

0x6400219cccc8eaaa22729253111fd6660d20331a
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$641
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$45
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
2,748W / 345L · 271 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
2,907W / 348L · 109 open
Trades (30d)
3,364
across 620 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$1.20
avg win $3 · loss $10
Profit Factor
1.89
$1,364 won / $723 lost
Reward / Risk
0.28
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$200
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $79,623 · all-time $7,708,156

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 84.7% 8,976W/1,618L 1931 $526,308
🌤 Weather 88.9% 998W/124L 305 $62,611

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

56 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 6? No 274 0.994 $272.36 $1.10 +0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 6? No 274 0.994 $272.00 $5.79 +2.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 5? No 273 0.994 $270.93 $1.64 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 5? No 272 0.996 $270.83 $5.25 +2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? No 279 0.970 $270.63 $0.69 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 6? No 283 0.955 $270.26 $-4.14 -1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 7? No 274 0.975 $266.88 $-3.93 -1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 7? No 275 0.965 $265.42 $-4.08 -1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 7? No 275 0.955 $262.62 $-6.88 -2.6%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? Yes 246 0.998 $245.63 $2.46 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 6? No 231 0.998 $230.59 $3.06 +1.3%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 79°F or below on August 5? No 203 0.985 $199.42 $0.91 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 6? No 193 0.995 $191.97 $2.85 +1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 6? No 188 0.996 $187.30 $1.13 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 5? No 172 1.000 $171.81 $3.34 +2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on August 6? No 160 0.999 $159.72 $0.72 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 6? No 155 0.985 $152.22 $0.77 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 7? No 120 0.955 $114.33 $-2.99 -2.6%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 6? No 103 0.980 $100.94 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5? Yes 101 0.992 $100.14 $0.15 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 96-97°F on August 6? No 98 0.990 $97.02 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6? No 88 0.998 $87.99 $0.87 +1.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 5? No 75 0.999 $74.41 $0.63 +0.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 6? No 57 0.995 $56.98 $0.29 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 6? No 57 0.990 $56.43 $2.28 +4.2%