PnL (30d)

−$465

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$147

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

85%

8,965W / 1,618L · 636 open

Win Return (30d)

85%

9,297W / 1,632L · 290 open

Trades (30d)

11,219

across 1,917 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$0.27

avg win $3 · loss $18

Profit Factor

0.91

$4,536 won / $5,002 lost

Reward / Risk

0.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$628

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	84.7% 8,965W/1,618L	1917	$522,441
🌤 Weather	90.2% 1,113W/121L	318	$67,588

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

58 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 6?	No	274	0.994	$272.36	$1.10	+0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 5?	No	272	1.000	$271.86	$5.28	+2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 6?	No	283	0.960	$271.67	$-2.73	-1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 6?	No	274	0.991	$271.17	$4.97	+1.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 5?	No	273	0.994	$270.93	$1.64	+0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?	No	279	0.970	$270.63	$0.69	+0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 5?	No	272	0.991	$269.47	$3.89	+1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 7?	No	274	0.965	$264.14	$-6.67	-2.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 7?	No	275	0.940	$258.50	$-11.00	-4.1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	246	0.997	$245.26	$2.09	+0.9%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 6?	No	231	0.991	$228.97	$1.45	+0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 79°F or below on August 5?	No	203	0.985	$199.52	$1.01	+0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on August 5?	No	195	1.000	$194.49	$1.26	+0.7%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 6?	No	193	0.983	$189.65	$0.54	+0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 6?	No	188	0.996	$187.30	$1.13	+0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	160	0.999	$159.72	$0.72	+0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 6?	No	155	0.980	$151.45	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5?	Yes	101	0.990	$99.94	$-0.05	-0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 6?	No	103	0.970	$99.91	$-1.03	-1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 5?	No	100	0.994	$99.65	$0.55	+0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 96-97°F on August 6?	No	98	0.991	$97.07	$0.05	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	88	0.995	$87.69	$0.57	+0.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 5?	No	81	0.999	$81.32	$0.73	+0.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 5?	No	70	1.000	$70.00	$1.15	+1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 5?	No	67	1.000	$66.66	$0.63	+1.0%