PnL (30d)

−$65

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$53

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

3%

2W / 62L · 263 open

Win Return (30d)

7%

22W / 301L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

327

across 29 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

−$8.13

avg win $1 · loss $9

Profit Factor

0.02

$1 won / $66 lost

Reward / Risk

0.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	15.9% 91W/480L	238	$5,635
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	14	$21
₿ Crypto	—	12	$15
🎬 Culture	—	6	$36
⚽ Sports	—	4	$67
🏛 Politics	—	2	$12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

76 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will G2 Esports Make a Roster Change Before September?	Yes	25	0.498	$12.46	$9.74	+358.2%
Will 100 Thieves make a roster change before September?	Yes	188	0.065	$12.24	$-6.59	-35.0%
Will Ashley Trail come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	760	0.016	$12.17	$-24.76	-67.0%
Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change Before September?	Yes	226	0.036	$8.23	$-4.30	-34.3%
Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	313	0.023	$7.19	$-10.85	-60.1%
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	890	0.008	$7.12	$-1.92	-21.2%
Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	148	0.042	$6.16	$-6.10	-49.7%
Will Team Vitality Make a Roster Change before September?	Yes	50	0.118	$5.93	$3.00	+102.3%
Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	106	0.052	$5.50	$-2.35	-29.9%
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	128	0.042	$5.32	$0.66	+14.1%
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	322	0.016	$5.14	$-1.84	-26.4%
Will Rome Seymour come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	109	0.046	$5.07	$-2.31	-31.3%
Will Gen.G make a roster change before September?	Yes	91	0.056	$5.04	$-2.77	-35.5%
Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	54	0.094	$5.03	$1.83	+57.1%
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 225M?	No	122	0.040	$4.89	$-5.57	-53.3%
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	128	0.036	$4.61	$-3.16	-40.7%
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	340	0.013	$4.59	$0.68	+17.3%
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	702	0.006	$4.56	$-4.53	-49.8%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	20	0.225	$4.50	$-0.70	-13.5%
Will Mallory Aurichio win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	84	0.051	$4.25	$-1.60	-27.3%
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	217	0.018	$4.01	$-6.64	-62.3%
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	124	0.032	$3.97	$-2.34	-37.1%
Will Kamu Kirk come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	52	0.075	$3.90	$-0.35	-8.3%
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	64	0.059	$3.78	$-0.56	-12.8%
Will Jason De Puy come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	227	0.015	$3.52	$-5.23	-59.8%