PnL (30d)

−$548

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$200

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-16.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

16%

91W / 480L · 909 open

Win Return (30d)

22%

324W / 1,139L · 17 open

Trades (30d)

1,480

across 238 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$5.17

avg win $6 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.19

$125 won / $674 lost

Reward / Risk

0.75

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$14

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	15.9% 91W/480L	238	$5,635
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	19	$39
₿ Crypto	—	15	$24
🎬 Culture	—	8	$36
⚽ Sports	—	5	$72
🌤 Weather	16.7% 4W/20L	3	$162
🏛 Politics	—	2	$12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

78 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will G2 Esports Make a Roster Change Before September?	Yes	25	0.499	$12.47	$9.76	+358.7%
Will 100 Thieves make a roster change before September?	Yes	188	0.065	$12.24	$-6.59	-35.0%
Will Ashley Trail come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	760	0.016	$12.17	$-24.76	-67.0%
Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change Before September?	Yes	226	0.036	$8.23	$-4.30	-34.3%
Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	313	0.025	$7.81	$-10.22	-56.7%
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	890	0.008	$7.12	$-1.92	-21.2%
Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	148	0.042	$6.16	$-6.10	-49.7%
Will Team Vitality Make a Roster Change before September?	Yes	50	0.119	$5.98	$3.05	+104.0%
Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	106	0.052	$5.55	$-2.29	-29.2%
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	128	0.042	$5.32	$0.66	+14.1%
Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	54	0.096	$5.14	$1.94	+60.5%
Will Rome Seymour come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	109	0.046	$5.07	$-2.31	-31.3%
Will Gen.G make a roster change before September?	Yes	91	0.056	$5.04	$-2.77	-35.5%
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	217	0.023	$4.99	$-5.66	-53.1%
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 225M?	No	122	0.040	$4.89	$-5.57	-53.3%
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	322	0.015	$4.82	$-2.17	-31.0%
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	128	0.036	$4.67	$-3.10	-39.8%
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	340	0.013	$4.59	$0.68	+17.3%
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	702	0.006	$4.56	$-4.53	-49.8%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	20	0.220	$4.40	$-0.80	-15.4%
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	124	0.033	$4.03	$-2.27	-36.1%
Will Kamu Kirk come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	52	0.075	$3.90	$-0.35	-8.3%
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	64	0.059	$3.78	$-0.56	-12.8%
Will Jason De Puy come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	227	0.016	$3.63	$-5.12	-58.5%
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	53	0.066	$3.52	$-1.10	-23.8%