PnL (30d)

−$3

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-15.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

4W / 4L

Win Return (30d)

50%

4W / 4L

Trades (30d)

8

across 5 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.70

avg win $0 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.11

$0 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

0.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.2% 12W/7L	17	$126
💵 Economy	50.0% 4W/4L	5	$22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

168 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	1,173	0.043	$49.85	$-145.65	-74.5%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	1,442	0.021	$29.56	$-210.76	-87.7%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?	Yes	159	0.172	$27.26	$0.83	+3.1%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?	Yes	77	0.305	$23.48	$10.65	+83.0%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	1,647	0.014	$23.06	$-251.44	-91.6%
Will Bruce Arena win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	40	0.425	$17.09	$16.21	+1855.0%
Will B.J. Callaghan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	40	0.419	$16.86	$15.99	+1829.7%
Will Pablo Mastroeni win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	40	0.416	$16.72	$15.85	+1813.6%
Will Eric Quill win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	40	0.402	$16.14	$15.27	+1746.9%
Will Óscar Pareja win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	40	0.396	$15.90	$15.03	+1719.3%
Will Yoann Damet win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	40	0.396	$15.90	$15.03	+1719.3%
Will Robin Fraser win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	40	0.373	$15.01	$14.14	+1618.1%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	162	0.075	$12.12	$12.10	+48600.8%
Will Jesper Sørensen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	27	0.425	$11.40	$10.82	+1857.3%
Will Dean Smith win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	40	0.271	$10.89	$10.02	+1146.6%
Will Greg Vanney win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	27	0.403	$10.80	$10.22	+1753.8%
Will Henrik Rydström win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	27	0.389	$10.43	$9.84	+1689.4%
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	163	0.061	$10.03	$7.48	+293.6%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026?	Yes	111	0.080	$8.86	$-9.60	-52.0%
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	26	0.313	$8.01	$7.47	+1371.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	23	0.300	$6.89	$-6.31	-47.8%
Will George Pickens play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?	Yes	8	0.875	$6.70	$6.47	+2787.5%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Austin FC next?	Yes	13	0.493	$6.61	$6.33	+2268.8%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Charlotte FC next?	Yes	13	0.460	$6.16	$5.88	+2108.0%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Vancouver Whitecaps FC next?	Yes	13	0.455	$6.10	$5.82	+2084.0%