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Trader leaderboard/win-at-all-cost

win-at-all-cost

0x62ad81eddc36cc1e26234c908a69277bce9779fc
PnL (30d)
−$7
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
12W / 7L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
14W / 11L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
26
across 17 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.58
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.54
$8 won / $15 lost
Reward / Risk
0.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$9
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10 · all-time $1,409,010

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.2% 12W/7L 17 $126
💵 Economy 50.0% 4W/4L 5 $22
🏛 Politics 2 $22

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

168 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 1,173 0.043 $50.91 $-144.59 -74.0%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 1,647 0.022 $37.06 $-237.44 -86.5%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 1,442 0.021 $29.56 $-210.76 -87.7%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? Yes 159 0.173 $27.42 $0.99 +3.7%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? Yes 77 0.290 $22.33 $9.50 +74.0%
Will Bruce Arena win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 40 0.424 $17.04 $16.17 +1850.4%
Will B.J. Callaghan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 40 0.420 $16.88 $16.01 +1832.0%
Will Eric Quill win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 40 0.403 $16.18 $15.31 +1751.5%
Will Yoann Damet win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 40 0.395 $15.86 $14.98 +1714.7%
Will Pablo Mastroeni win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 40 0.393 $15.78 $14.90 +1705.5%
Will Óscar Pareja win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 40 0.388 $15.60 $14.72 +1684.8%
Will Robin Fraser win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 40 0.374 $15.05 $14.18 +1622.7%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 162 0.075 $12.12 $12.10 +48600.8%
Will Jesper Sørensen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 27 0.421 $11.28 $10.70 +1836.6%
Will Dean Smith win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 40 0.271 $10.87 $10.00 +1144.3%
Will Greg Vanney win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 27 0.399 $10.68 $10.10 +1733.1%
Will Henrik Rydström win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year? Yes 27 0.391 $10.48 $9.90 +1698.6%
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes 163 0.061 $10.03 $7.48 +293.6%
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 26 0.317 $8.10 $7.56 +1387.6%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026? Yes 111 0.071 $7.91 $-10.55 -57.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? No 23 0.300 $6.89 $-6.31 -47.8%
Will George Pickens play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27? Yes 8 0.870 $6.66 $6.43 +2771.0%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Austin FC next? Yes 13 0.492 $6.60 $6.32 +2264.0%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Charlotte FC next? Yes 13 0.467 $6.25 $5.97 +2139.2%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Vancouver Whitecaps FC next? Yes 13 0.455 $6.10 $5.82 +2084.0%