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Trader

0x628227f9aaf1d5dd40151315d6350d4060bb3ea8
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$325
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-42.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
7W / 9L
Win Return (30d)
44%
7W / 9L
Trades (30d)
16
across 5 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$65.05
avg win $7 · loss $173
Profit Factor
0.06
$20 won / $345 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$17
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,314 · all-time $78,760

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.8% 30W/17L 39 $4,729
💵 Economy 2 $456
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $17
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $17
🏛 Politics 1 $255

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 300 0.985 $295.35 $16.95 +6.1%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 300 0.962 $288.60 $14.00 +5.1%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No 300 0.958 $287.40 $-0.48 -0.2%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? Yes 300 0.926 $277.79 $6.06 +2.2%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 500 0.525 $262.50 $7.50 +2.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? Yes 300 0.825 $247.50 $-28.50 -10.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 250 0.973 $243.12 $-1.17 -0.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.655 $196.50 $-4.50 -2.2%
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? No 144 0.961 $138.38 $0.86 +0.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes 200 0.655 $131.00 $-17.00 -11.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 300 0.305 $91.50 $-4.50 -4.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by August 31? No 50 0.915 $45.75 $-1.25 -2.7%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? No 20 0.952 $19.04 $1.64 +9.4%