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Trader

0x628227f9aaf1d5dd40151315d6350d4060bb3ea8
PnL (30d)
−$342
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$25
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
30W / 17L · 24 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
44W / 27L
Trades (30d)
71
across 38 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$12.23
avg win $14 · loss $78
Profit Factor
0.45
$281 won / $623 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$18
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,314 · all-time $78,760

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.8% 30W/17L 38 $4,474
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $17
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $17
💵 Economy 1 $201

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 300 0.985 $295.35 $16.95 +6.1%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 300 0.962 $288.60 $14.00 +5.1%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No 300 0.957 $286.95 $-0.93 -0.3%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? Yes 300 0.928 $278.54 $6.81 +2.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? Yes 300 0.875 $262.50 $-13.50 -4.9%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 500 0.515 $257.50 $2.50 +1.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 250 0.972 $243.00 $-1.30 -0.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.655 $196.50 $-4.50 -2.2%
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? No 144 0.961 $138.31 $0.79 +0.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes 200 0.655 $131.00 $-17.00 -11.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 300 0.295 $88.50 $-7.50 -7.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by August 31? No 50 0.915 $45.75 $-1.25 -2.7%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? No 20 0.952 $19.04 $1.64 +9.4%