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Trader leaderboard/Npf1

Npf1

0x623f75fcdd091362468921a39b391ab7582f1852
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$594
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-46.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
10W / 33L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
25%
11W / 33L
Trades (30d)
44
across 12 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$53.96
avg win $7 · loss $127
Profit Factor
0.07
$43 won / $636 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $66,141

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 21.2% 14W/52L 23 $2,032
⚽ Sports 75.0% 3W/1L 3 $23

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No 330 0.885 $292.05 $40.95 +16.3%
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.979 $48.92 $1.42 +3.0%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No 51 0.955 $48.70 $1.96 +4.2%
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No 41 0.972 $39.83 $2.52 +6.8%
Human moon landing in 2026? No 40 0.982 $39.28 $1.68 +4.5%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.953 $38.10 $2.90 +8.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 43 0.845 $36.34 $6.24 +20.7%
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No 33 0.971 $32.04 $4.32 +15.6%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? No 31 0.912 $27.83 $4.10 +17.3%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 27 0.935 $25.25 $2.56 +11.3%
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 179 0.110 $19.65 $-8.65 -30.6%
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No 20 0.981 $19.62 $3.02 +18.2%
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No 20 0.970 $19.40 $1.00 +5.4%
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No 20 0.905 $18.10 $1.10 +6.5%
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No 20 0.900 $18.00 $0.60 +3.4%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.886 $17.73 $2.63 +17.4%
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 21 0.854 $17.61 $-1.94 -9.9%
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No 18 0.880 $15.84 $0.36 +2.3%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 20 0.790 $15.81 $1.81 +12.9%
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? No 18 0.835 $14.78 $0.48 +3.4%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 50 0.233 $11.65 $-20.25 -63.5%
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027? No 13 0.775 $10.07 $-1.10 -9.9%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 11 0.865 $9.52 $0.82 +9.5%
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No 10 0.765 $7.65 $-0.35 -4.4%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 10 0.605 $6.05 $0.65 +12.0%