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Trader leaderboard/Npf1

Npf1

0x623f75fcdd091362468921a39b391ab7582f1852
PnL (30d)
−$635
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-41.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
21%
14W / 52L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
28%
20W / 52L
Trades (30d)
72
across 23 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$31.77
avg win $7 · loss $63
Profit Factor
0.09
$61 won / $697 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $66,141

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 21.2% 14W/52L 23 $2,032
⚽ Sports 75.0% 3W/1L 3 $23

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No 330 0.885 $292.05 $40.95 +16.3%
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.979 $48.92 $1.42 +3.0%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No 51 0.955 $48.70 $1.96 +4.2%
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No 41 0.970 $39.75 $2.44 +6.5%
Human moon landing in 2026? No 40 0.982 $39.28 $1.68 +4.5%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.951 $38.04 $2.84 +8.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 43 0.835 $35.91 $5.80 +19.3%
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No 33 0.971 $32.04 $4.32 +15.6%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? No 31 0.912 $27.83 $4.10 +17.3%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 27 0.935 $25.25 $2.56 +11.3%
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 179 0.110 $19.65 $-8.65 -30.6%
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No 20 0.981 $19.62 $3.02 +18.2%
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No 20 0.970 $19.40 $1.00 +5.4%
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No 20 0.905 $18.10 $0.70 +4.0%
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No 20 0.905 $18.10 $1.10 +6.5%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.885 $17.71 $2.61 +17.3%
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 21 0.842 $17.36 $-2.19 -11.2%
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No 18 0.880 $15.84 $0.36 +2.3%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 20 0.790 $15.81 $1.81 +12.9%
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? No 18 0.830 $14.69 $0.39 +2.7%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 50 0.232 $11.60 $-20.30 -63.6%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 11 0.865 $9.52 $0.82 +9.5%
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No 10 0.765 $7.65 $-0.35 -4.4%
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027? No 13 0.570 $7.41 $-3.77 -33.7%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 10 0.605 $6.05 $0.65 +12.0%