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Trader leaderboard/Slackjaw

Slackjaw

0x62365f754d4aa7dc537f997f23bb5dd9a9e36881
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$16
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-25.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
5W / 3L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
5W / 4L
Trades (30d)
9
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.17
avg win $0 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.04
$1 won / $16 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $32,282 · all-time $776,429

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.8% 3,554W/4,743L 3671 $84,881
🎬 Culture 36.3% 78W/137L 158 $3,155
💵 Economy 34.8% 65W/122L 144 $3,251
⚽ Sports 17.8% 16W/74L 108 $1,811
🏛 Politics 42.2% 49W/67L 107 $2,198
₿ Crypto 35.0% 55W/102L 92 $2,106
🤖 Tech 28.4% 25W/63L 60 $945
🌤 Weather 49.4% 88W/90L 46 $1,372
🔬 Science 1 $8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? No 40 0.765 $30.60 $1.00 +3.4%
Will MrBeast say "Grocery Store" during his next YouTube video? No 30 0.855 $25.65 $1.05 +4.3%
Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video? Yes 30 0.850 $25.50 $15.00 +142.9%
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video? Yes 30 0.830 $24.90 $9.00 +56.6%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? Yes 24 1.000 $24.43 $17.23 +239.4%
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? Yes 30 0.790 $23.69 $12.90 +119.4%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.550 $22.00 $-4.60 -17.3%
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? Yes 30 0.725 $21.74 $0.15 +0.7%
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video? No 30 0.705 $21.15 $1.95 +10.2%
Will Trump say "Shit" in August? Yes 30 0.700 $21.00 $10.80 +105.9%
Will fnatic Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament? No 20 1.000 $19.99 $4.79 +31.5%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 20 0.998 $19.96 $12.76 +177.2%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5? Yes 20 0.970 $19.40 $17.40 +870.0%
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 40 0.485 $19.40 $8.20 +73.2%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 5? No 20 0.964 $19.27 $3.07 +18.9%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.950 $19.00 $8.40 +79.2%
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? Yes 40 0.460 $18.39 $1.20 +7.0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on August 5? No 20 0.915 $18.30 $2.30 +14.4%
Will PlayTime win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament Yes 20 0.900 $18.00 $6.60 +57.9%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $157.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 40 0.445 $17.80 $-0.60 -3.3%
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? No 40 0.445 $17.80 $-6.00 -25.2%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026? No 20 0.880 $17.60 $3.80 +27.5%
Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week? Yes 30 0.570 $17.10 $13.20 +338.4%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by August 31? Yes 20 0.854 $17.08 $1.48 +9.5%
Beezie FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 20 0.850 $17.00 $0.60 +3.7%