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Trader leaderboard/Slackjaw

Slackjaw

0x62365f754d4aa7dc537f997f23bb5dd9a9e36881
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$468
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$78
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
331W / 351L · 227 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
409W / 479L · 21 open
Trades (30d)
909
across 342 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.94
avg win $6 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.55
$566 won / $1,034 lost
Reward / Risk
0.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$69
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $32,282 · all-time $776,429

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.9% 3,572W/4,759L 3673 $84,897
🎬 Culture 36.3% 78W/137L 158 $3,155
💵 Economy 34.8% 65W/122L 144 $3,251
⚽ Sports 17.8% 16W/74L 109 $1,814
🏛 Politics 42.2% 49W/67L 107 $2,198
₿ Crypto 35.0% 55W/102L 92 $2,106
🤖 Tech 28.4% 25W/63L 60 $945
🌤 Weather 49.2% 88W/91L 46 $1,372
🔬 Science 1 $8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? No 40 0.785 $31.40 $1.80 +6.1%
Will MrBeast say "Grocery Store" during his next YouTube video? No 30 0.855 $25.65 $1.05 +4.3%
Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video? Yes 30 0.850 $25.50 $15.00 +142.9%
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video? Yes 30 0.830 $24.90 $9.00 +56.6%
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? Yes 30 0.740 $22.19 $11.40 +105.6%
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? Yes 30 0.725 $21.74 $0.15 +0.7%
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video? No 30 0.705 $21.15 $1.95 +10.2%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.525 $21.00 $-5.60 -21.1%
Will Trump say "Shit" in August? Yes 30 0.700 $21.00 $10.80 +105.9%
Will PlayTime win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament Yes 20 1.000 $19.99 $8.59 +75.4%
Will fnatic Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament? No 20 1.000 $19.99 $4.79 +31.5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 5? No 20 0.994 $19.88 $3.68 +22.7%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.975 $19.50 $8.90 +84.0%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 5? Down 20 0.975 $19.49 $12.69 +186.6%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5? Yes 20 0.970 $19.40 $17.40 +870.0%
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 40 0.485 $19.40 $8.20 +73.2%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 20 0.957 $19.13 $11.93 +165.7%
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? Yes 40 0.460 $18.39 $1.20 +7.0%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026? No 20 0.920 $18.38 $6.79 +58.6%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 5? No 20 0.900 $18.00 $8.20 +83.7%
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? No 40 0.445 $17.80 $-6.00 -25.2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on August 5? No 20 0.880 $17.60 $1.60 +10.0%
Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week? Yes 30 0.570 $17.10 $13.20 +338.4%
Beezie FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 20 0.850 $17.00 $0.60 +3.7%
Will NRG make a roster change before September? No 20 0.845 $16.90 $2.10 +14.2%