| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
Yes |
39 |
0.345 |
$13.61 |
$0.19 |
+1.4% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.710 |
$12.99 |
$6.22 |
+91.9% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
13 |
0.920 |
$12.11 |
$2.11 |
+21.1% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
16 |
0.735 |
$11.75 |
$2.32 |
+24.6% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.790 |
$9.39 |
$0.71 |
+8.2% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
14 |
0.675 |
$9.23 |
$3.08 |
+50.0% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.886 |
$7.60 |
$4.12 |
+118.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
23 |
0.325 |
$7.55 |
$-0.81 |
-9.7% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? |
No |
8 |
0.885 |
$7.43 |
$1.05 |
+16.4% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
9 |
0.785 |
$7.11 |
$3.03 |
+74.4% |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
8 |
0.815 |
$6.67 |
$2.98 |
+81.1% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
8 |
0.855 |
$6.63 |
$2.36 |
+55.5% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.825 |
$5.98 |
$1.12 |
+23.1% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.315 |
$5.95 |
$-0.66 |
-10.0% |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
8 |
0.700 |
$5.90 |
$1.69 |
+40.0% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? |
No |
10 |
0.545 |
$5.59 |
$-0.05 |
-0.9% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
6 |
0.875 |
$5.24 |
$0.57 |
+12.2% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.405 |
$5.01 |
$-1.17 |
-19.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
7 |
0.710 |
$4.94 |
$1.60 |
+47.9% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.815 |
$4.82 |
$1.09 |
+29.3% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.835 |
$4.80 |
$0.66 |
+16.0% |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.415 |
$4.78 |
$0.17 |
+3.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
12 |
0.385 |
$4.77 |
$-0.06 |
-1.3% |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? |
No |
11 |
0.425 |
$4.61 |
$0.38 |
+9.0% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.904 |
$4.61 |
$1.96 |
+73.8% |