| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
Yes |
39 |
0.345 |
$13.61 |
$0.19 |
+1.4% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.685 |
$12.54 |
$5.76 |
+85.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
13 |
0.920 |
$12.11 |
$2.11 |
+21.1% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
16 |
0.735 |
$11.75 |
$2.32 |
+24.6% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.790 |
$9.39 |
$0.71 |
+8.2% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
14 |
0.670 |
$9.16 |
$3.01 |
+48.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.886 |
$7.60 |
$4.12 |
+118.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
23 |
0.325 |
$7.55 |
$-0.81 |
-9.7% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? |
No |
8 |
0.885 |
$7.43 |
$1.05 |
+16.4% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
9 |
0.785 |
$7.11 |
$3.03 |
+74.4% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
8 |
0.855 |
$6.63 |
$2.36 |
+55.5% |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
8 |
0.785 |
$6.42 |
$2.74 |
+74.4% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.825 |
$5.98 |
$1.12 |
+23.1% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.315 |
$5.95 |
$-0.66 |
-10.0% |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
8 |
0.695 |
$5.86 |
$1.64 |
+39.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
6 |
0.875 |
$5.24 |
$0.57 |
+12.2% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.415 |
$5.13 |
$-1.05 |
-17.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
7 |
0.715 |
$4.98 |
$1.64 |
+49.0% |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.415 |
$4.78 |
$0.17 |
+3.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
12 |
0.385 |
$4.77 |
$-0.06 |
-1.3% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.805 |
$4.77 |
$1.04 |
+27.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.925 |
$4.71 |
$2.06 |
+77.9% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.815 |
$4.69 |
$0.55 |
+13.2% |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? |
No |
11 |
0.430 |
$4.67 |
$0.43 |
+10.3% |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
5 |
0.915 |
$4.66 |
$1.35 |
+40.8% |