0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461
0x619dc40631c5f78606d17ed1528d62898096b31c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$108
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+57.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
70%
50W / 21L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
54W / 31L
Trades (30d)
85
across 30 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$4.31
avg win $7 · loss $2
Profit Factor
6.74
$127 won / $19 lost
Reward / Risk
3.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,208 · all-time $88,887
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 6, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.815 |
$32.76 |
$6.96 |
+27.0% |
| Will Trump say "Tehran" in August? |
No |
45 |
0.315 |
$14.09 |
$6.99 |
+98.5% |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
8 |
0.595 |
$4.72 |
$-0.28 |
-5.6% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
8 |
0.535 |
$4.53 |
$-0.47 |
-9.3% |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
10 |
0.400 |
$3.85 |
$-1.15 |
-23.1% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.155 |
$2.61 |
$-0.26 |
-9.0% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? |
Yes |
43 |
0.035 |
$1.51 |
$-9.95 |
-86.8% |