PnL (30d)

+$207

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+22.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

154W / 82L · 44 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

174W / 104L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

280

across 92 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$2.72

avg win $7 · loss $2

Profit Factor

3.76

$282 won / $75 lost

Reward / Risk

3.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	65.3% 154W/82L	92	$1,980
🏛 Politics	81.4% 35W/8L	20	$359
🎬 Culture	81.8% 27W/6L	15	$258
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 6, 2026?	No	40	0.815	$32.76	$6.96	+27.0%
Will Trump say "Tehran" in August?	No	45	0.315	$14.09	$6.99	+98.5%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	8	0.595	$4.72	$-0.28	-5.6%
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	8	0.520	$4.41	$-0.59	-11.9%
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	10	0.405	$3.89	$-1.11	-22.1%
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026?	No	17	0.215	$3.62	$0.75	+26.3%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	Yes	43	0.029	$1.27	$-10.18	-88.9%